Monday, May 3, 2010

Foensic Science:a major conference, a blockbuster report and reasons to be pessimistic

 
This article appears in the following Law, Probability and Risk issue: SPECIAL ISSUE Forensic Science For The 21st Century: The ASU Conference. Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA, April 2009 [View the issue table of contents]

Forensic science reform in the 21st century: a major conference, a blockbuster report and reasons to be pessimistic

Jonathan J. Koehler{dagger} Northwestern University School of Law, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
{dagger} Email: jay.koehler@northwestern.edu

   Abstract
A 2009 conference at Arizona State University brought together leading scholars to discuss the future of forensic science in light of the blockbuster National Academy of Sciences report entitled ‘Strengthening Forensic Science in the United States: A Path Forward’. This paper introduces the special issue on forensic science that this conference spawned, considers the significance of the report and then offer reasons to be pessimistic about whether major reforms are forthcoming.

Keywords: evidence; forensic science; individualization; National Academy of Sciences; National Research Council

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Abstract 2 of 5 back © The Author [2009]. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.
This article appears in the following Law, Probability and Risk issue: SPECIAL ISSUE Forensic Science For The 21st Century: The ASU Conference. Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA, April 2009 [View the issue table of contents]

What ‘Strengthening Forensic Science’ today means for tomorrow: DNA exceptionalism and the 2009 NAS Report

Erin Murphy{dagger} Assistant Professor, University of California Berkeley School of Law, Boalt Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720-7200
{dagger} Email: eemurphy@law.berkeley.edu
Received on 23 August 2009. Revised on 18 October 2009.
   Abstract
Congress explicitly ordered the National Academy of Science to investigate ‘non-DNA’ forensic techniques. But DNA typing nonetheless exerted great influence over every aspect of the process, from the story of how the committee came into existence to the final contents of the report's pages. This article unearths the pivotal role played by DNA typing in the formation and execution of the committee's mission. It then uses that history to caution against ‘DNA exceptionalism’—the inclination to view DNA as uniquely impermeable to error or as requiring less oversight and scrutiny than traditional methods. Instead, this article argues that the committee's recommendations should be interpreted as safeguards essential for all forensic methods, not just the ones expressly covered by the report.

Keywords: NAS Report; DNA; forensic science; evidence

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Abstract 3 of 5 back © The Author [2009]. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.
This article appears in the following Law, Probability and Risk issue: SPECIAL ISSUE Forensic Science For The 21st Century: The ASU Conference. Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA, April 2009 [View the issue table of contents]

Who speaks for science? A response to the National Academy of Sciences Report on forensic science

Simon A. Cole{dagger} Associate Professor of Criminology, Law & Society, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-7080, USA
{dagger} Email: scole@uci.edu
Received on 15 May 2009. Revised on 15 September 2009. Accepted on 16 September 2009.

   Abstract
This response focuses on the treatment of latent print identification by the recent National Academy of Science (NAS) Report on forensic science. It begins by situating the Report in the historical context of a decade of controversy over the validity of latent print identification. Stark disagreement between the academic and judicial communities over this issue created a situation in which the question of which of these two communities would ‘speak for science’ became contested. The Report's support of the academic position demonstrated the lack of support among non-practitioners for the claims of extreme discrimination and accuracy advanced on behalf of latent prints. The Report in some sense constitutes the response of institutionalized science to this issue. Nonetheless, it is still unclear whether the Report will function, as some may have hoped, as a ‘court of last resort’ on this issue or whether the courts themselves will again arbitrate it. The response then turns to the issue of how latent print conclusions can be reported in the wake of the NAS Report. The Report expresses clear disapproval of the reporting framework currently mandated by latent print professional organizations, creating a tension around the reporting of analyses. The response concludes that semantic resolutions to this tension are undesirable compared to resolutions based on empirical data.

Keywords: National Academy of Science; forensic science; fingerprint; expert witnesses; general acceptance

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Abstract 4 of 5 back © The Author [2010]. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.
This article appears in the following Law, Probability and Risk issue: SPECIAL ISSUE Forensic Science For The 21st Century: The ASU Conference. Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA, April 2009 [View the issue table of contents]

The use of technology in human expert domains: challenges and risks arising from the use of automated fingerprint identification systems in forensic science

Itiel E. Dror{dagger} Institute of Cognitive Neuroscience, University College London (UCL) and Cognitive Consultants International (CCI) Ltd, 17 Queen Square, London, WC1N 3AR, UK
Jennifer L. Mnookin{ddagger}
Professor of Law, UCLA School of Law, 405 Hilgard Ave, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA
{dagger} Email: i.dror@ucl.ac.uk. More information is available at www.CognitiveConsultantsInternational.com
{ddagger} Email: mnookin@law.ucla.edu
Received on 14 May 2009. Revised on 19 October 2009. Accepted on 3 November 2009.

   Abstract
Cognitive technologies have increased in sophistication and use, to the point of interactively collaborating and distributing cognition between technology and humans. The use of Automated Fingerprint Identification Systems (AFIS), computerized databases of fingerprints, by latent fingerprint experts, is a par-excellence illustration of such a partnership in forensic investigations. However, the deployment and use of cognitive technology is not a simple matter. If a technology is going to be used to its maximum potential, we must first understand the implications and consequences of using it and make whatever adaptations are necessary both to the technology and to the way humans work with it. As we demonstrate with AFIS, latent fingerprint identification has been transformed by technology, but the strategies used by humans who work with this technology have not adequately been modified and adjusted in response to these transformations. For example, the chances that an AFIS search will produce prints with incidental similarities—i.e. that highly similar, look-alike, prints from different sources will result from an AFIS search—has not been sufficiently investigated or explored. This risk, as well as others, may mean that the use of AFIS introduces new concerns into the process of latent fingerprint identification, some of which may even increase the chances of making erroneous identifications. Only by appropriate and explicit adaptation to the new potential and the new challenges posed by the new technology will AFIS and other cognitive technologies produce efficient and effective partnerships.

Keywords: cognitive technology; bias; AFIS; database searches; fingerprint identification; forensic science; evidence experts; judgment and decision making

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Abstract 5 of 5 back © The Author [2010]. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.
This article appears in the following Law, Probability and Risk issue: SPECIAL ISSUE Forensic Science For The 21st Century: The ASU Conference. Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA, April 2009 [View the issue table of contents]

Rational bias in forensic science

Glen Whitman{dagger} Associate Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, California State University, Northridge, 18111 Nordhoff Street, Northridge, CA 91330-8374, USA
Roger Koppl{ddagger}
Professor of Economics and Finance, Department of Economics and Finance and Institute for Forensic Science Administration, Silberman School of Business, Fairleigh Dickinson University, Madison, NJ 07940, USA
{dagger} Email: glen.whitman@gmail.com
{ddagger} Email: koppl@fdu.edu
Received on 26 May 2009. Revised on 1 October 2009.
   Abstract
The current organization of forensic science induces biases in the conduct of forensic science even if forensic scientists are perfectly rational. Assuming forensic examiners are flawless Bayesian statisticians helps us to identify structural sources of error that we might otherwise have undervalued or missed altogether. Specifically, forensic examiners’ conclusions are affected not just by objective test results but also by two subjective factors: their prior beliefs about a suspect's likely guilt or innocence and the relative importance they attach to convicting the guilty rather than the innocent. The authorities—police and prosecutors—implicitly convey information to forensic examiners by their very decision to submit samples for testing. This information induces the examiners to update their prior beliefs in a manner that results in a greater tendency to provide testimony that incriminates the defendant. Forensic results are in a sense ‘contaminated’ by the prosecution and thus do not provide jurors with an independent source of information. Structural reforms to address such problems of rational bias include independence from law enforcement, blind proficiency testing and separation of test from interpretation.

Keywords: forensic science; bias; Bayesian; NAS report; organization

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Online ISSN 1470-840X - Print ISSN 1470-8396

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